Glasgow 31 Munster 22

End of Block

Glasgow 31 Munster 22
Another self-uppercut
This was a decent performance overall undermined by another skittish, error ridden opening half that killed practically killed any chance of a win inside the first 10 minutes.
Quality of Opposition
Match Importance
Attack
Defence
Set Piece
2.3

That was a nightmare mid-season block by any metric.

Ten games back-to-back-to-back (to back), seven losses, three wins over Gloucester, Ospreys and the Dragons, out of the Champions Cup, and a slew of injuries right at the end when we could least afford them. The Six Nations test window couldn’t have come at a better time. Sometimes after a run like this, the best thing for you is another game to work the kinks out. Not here; this group, this coaching staff, need time away from the grind to rest and reset. It’s been a chastening run of games, where our true current level has become clearly apparent after what we can now clearly label as a new coach bounce to start the season.

And yet, I’ve watched this game back twice now, after suffering through it live, and there’s far more hope than despair. In O’Connell, Sean Edogbo, Quinn, Kelly and Wood, we saw a glimpse of the squad core to come in the next few years, as well as more good performances from stalwarts like O’Donoghue, Barron and Fineen Wycherley. That’s mixed with some of the worst individual defensive and tactical performances you’ll see anywhere at a pro level, which would be doable if it wasn’t also paired with deeply questionable effort levels in a few key defensive moments.

It’s the latter point that will rankle.

Ultimately, you look at a game like this and the halfback meltdown in the first half, there’s no point in examining it in too much detail. Last season, we had to decide whether to sign a backup #9 or #10, and we chose to sign JJ Hanrahan for games just like this one. The feeling was that Tony Butler was too raw, too inconsistent to be relied on for games like this as a core starter, and he has shown that in the last two games. It isn’t a failure on the player’s part. In an ideal world, JJ Hanrahan wouldn’t have done his hamstring kicking goals in the warm-up against the Dragons, and we’d have seen 20 minutes combined of Butler at the tail end of both of these games, where he can play a game as it’s laid out, rather than being the one to set the frame for it. Instead, he’s had to start both, and while he’s shown a few good moments, this game was a disaster, where his head seemed to go early on both sides of the ball, and he couldn’t recover before being hooked after 45 minutes.

The benefit of signing an experienced #10 is that they can help drive in-experienced or inconsistent #9s through difficult games like this. When you have to go with your third-string backup, you are relying on an inconsistent, inexperienced halfback pairing to navigate difficult games where every decision, every pass, every moment matters. That can lead to performances like this, where it feels like we have no reliable way to settle down a performance with back-to-back good decisions and good execution.

Here’s a good example.

We started really well, and almost scored if not for a marginal second movement penalty on the goal line — it looks harsher with each watchback — but what happened next is exactly what has killed us at points in this block. Cascading mistakes.

Glasgow have a lineout and move to the middle of the field. We know from watching Glasgow that they love playing to width here, but we make a key mistake early.

Butler sits down on Yule for a split second on the progression, even though he has Quinn and Barron on the inside, and that, in turn, forces Kelly to jam in on McDowall.

That pulls in Daly, which, in turn, puts Kilgallen on an island and Glasgow are away up the far edge on a play that should really have been stopped on their 22. Abrahams tries to scramble back, but he can’t win the collision going backwards, and Glasgow pick up a 22 entry that they convert on the far edge to go 7-0 up.

It’s a counterpunch we’ve soaked on the jaw a fair bit this season.

A few minutes later, we managed to get a decent lineout possession on Glasgow’s 10m line. A good throw, a good take, a good delivery and then a floaty pass over Butler’s head, and the #10 sticks to the script despite the change in picture and throws an intercept pass that you could see before the ball left his hands.

He’s off the ground, trying to catch the ball with Lancaster shooting into the passing lane.

By the time he’s set to pass, this is a genuine 50/50 where the pass has to be perfect to hit Dan Kelly. Instead, it hits Lancaster so perfectly that it was like it was the intent the entire time. It wasn’t. But when you call the play, inexperienced players will go through with it, regardless of context.

We knew Glasgow would do this.

They play with an aggressive high line on flat alignments like ours, and they almost picked off a similar flat pass a few minutes earlier during our purple patch.

That was a warning sign.

We didn’t heed it.

Our flat attacking system puts a very high premium on the speed and quality of passing at halfback, and when both are inconsistent in their delivery, especially without Casey’s laser bombs and Crowley’s carrying threat, it’s free money to blitz into lanes like this.

Our system empowers moments like this.

Even when we play with depth, we don’t quite have all the pieces to pull teams out of shape.

This is a good example, again from early in the game. We punch a great hole on the edge through a mighty Edogbo carry, but we start too narrow on the next phase to open up space.

Daly gets pressured, chucks a bobbler to Kilgallen, and has to scoot back inside with the chance gone. We can only project a block to the second last forward in the line here, by default.

How much more dangerous would it be if everyone were two metres to the right? Now we have space to work with. Now we have momentum. Now Kelly and Daly can play with separation.

This is where you need an experienced #10 reading the space and planting his screens, or a system that drills that by default, so the #10 doesn’t need to think; it’s just there.

It’s a common thread in this team where we tend to overcomplicate almost everything we do instead of the simple thing; this is a great example, which almost ended in another Glasgow score after picking off an intercept of our own.

This is a good lineout, a good punch-up the middle, but when we come back to the blindside — as we often do — it’s crying out for Kilgallen to hit a straight line into the covering #9 and the winger stepping up from the secondary. Instead, he spills the ball on the floor as he’s trying to deliver it.

Yes, the pass from Butler is a bit of a hospital parking ticket. Kilgallen is 6’4″, and he still has to jump to take this, which stalls his running, but I’d love to see him back himself on a straight line rather than running back into Glasgow’s folding defenders.

If you’re going to cut in, you have to present well, and he got melted on the first contact from Ferrie before spilling the ball before a Munster player could secure the ruck.

Does it need to be that complicated?

***

Even the simple stuff — exiting — we couldn’t do with any reliability for much of the first 45 minutes. Kicks were either too short, too long, or kicked blindly to a side of the field where we had no chasers.

We’re the experts at making things harder for ourselves. If you can’t kick well against an on-ball team like Glasgow, you’ll spend the entire game on the backfoot, and that’s exactly how it looked.

That continued with Patterson at #9 to be fair, including this one, which ran McKay — the most dangerous transition runner on the field — into the middle of the field.

Defensively, we started to leak mistakes up the middle, too. Lee Barron sat down on a line covered by O’Donoghue and left an easy gap for Vailanu to jog through early in the second half.

But we hung in there. Scrambled well. Got another try back off a good kick by Kilgallen that sent a lineout tumbling into Brian Gleeson’s hands that he could finish unopposed.

Then we started stringing good moments together back to back.

All of a sudden, it was a one-point game, and a try bonus point from 28-5 down at the half.

Then we won a penalty on the halfway line with 10 minutes to go.

Wood went for everything off the kick, and the wind pushed it dead. A big moment for a lad making his debut at this level, and it passed him by.

Scrum. We wobbled at it, because Ala’alatoa was doing (another) 60 minutes and John Ryan was covering loosehead off the bench. Freekick. Glasgow won a penalty on the scramble. They kicked it for their first successful penalty of the URC season to take it to a nine-point differential.

From there, we did well to hold Glasgow out from putting gloss on the scoreboard, but the damage had been done in the first half. The frustrating part is that we did more than enough to win this game in almost every metric bar the scoreboard.

Data Read Out

Red-zone output: elite… but we didn’t get enough of it

  • 22m entries: Glasgow 12, Munster 6
  • Avg points per entry: Glasgow 2.5, Munster 3.6

So we were far more clinical: 4 tries from 6 entries (67%) is outrageous finishing. But Glasgow simply manufactured double the opportunities.

Bottom line: our attack wasn’t inefficient; it was starved.


The tee decided the margin

Both sides scored 4 tries. The difference is entirely in extras:

  • Glasgow: 4 conversions + 1 penalty = 11
  • Munster: 1 conversion = 2

That’s +9 Glasgow — the exact final margin.

When tries are even, goal-kicking and penalty value become the game.


Volume and tempo: Glasgow owned the ball

Glasgow played nearly twice as much rugby:

  • Rucks won: 118 vs 71
  • Carries: 158 vs 76
  • Passes: 251 vs 142

And they played it quicker:

  • 0–3s rucks: 64% vs 55%
  • 6s+ rucks: 8% vs 21% (us)

That 6s+ split is a red flag: it suggests our ball was regularly disrupted (slow presentation, isolated carriers, or Glasgow successfully contesting/“seating” us at contact). When you’re that slow that often, your next phase becomes predictable, and your kick decisions become forced and under higher pressure than they would otherwise.


Our attack: lower volume, but better collision efficiency

Even with less ball, we weren’t getting dominated in contact:

  • Post-contact metres: 301m off 76 carries (3.96m per carry)
  • Glasgow: 481m off 158 carries (3.04m per carry)

So per carry, we were actually generating more post-contact punch — we just didn’t have enough sequences to turn that into territory and entries.

Also, our linebreak rate per ruck was solid:

  • Glasgow LBR: 0.0847 (8.47 per 100 rucks)
  • Munster LBR: 0.0986 (9.86 per 100 rucks)

That’s another “clinical but starved” marker: when we had phases, we could still dent them.


Defence: massive workload, slipping accuracy

This was a defensive shift — but under stress:

  • Tackles made: 202 vs 106
  • Missed: 33 vs 8
  • Tackle success: ~86% vs ~93%

The defensive radar also points to us allowing more tackle offloads (and missing more), which typically shows up when you’re defending too long: you start reaching, you lose body height, and the second man arrives late.

This dovetails with the possession/field-position picture: we spent more time pinned in our own 22.


Set piece + discipline: the “hidden metres” that feed Glasgow’s control

  • Scrum: 67% (us) vs 100% (them)
  • Lineout: 93% (us) vs 81% (them)
  • Penalties: 13 (us) vs 10 (them)
  • Yellow cards: 2 (us) vs 0

So our lineout was a platform, but the scrum and discipline bled control — and those are exactly the areas that turn into:

  • cheaper exits for them,
  • more territory,
  • more entries,
  • and more “clock control” while leading.

Kicking strategy: we kicked like a team under pressure

  • Kicks: 21 vs 15
  • Kick-to-pass ratio: 1:6.8 vs 1:16.7

Given we also had fewer carries/rucks, most of our kicking was functional (exit/relief) rather than attacking (contestable/pressure). That can be fine, but if you don’t win the next contest (or you concede penalties/scrum resets), you’re just handing back the ball to a side already ahead.


What it means for us

This wasn’t “we couldn’t score” — we scored four tries off six entries. It was:

  1. We lost the opportunity battle (entries, rucks, carries).
  2. We lost the control battle (scrum + discipline + ruck speed).
  3. We lost the tee battle (the entire 9-point margin).

It’s another game that we lost control of early and spent the rest of the game chasing a team that knew where we were weak and knew how to pressure us.

We can’t keep doing that. Glasgow were heavily rotated, yes. Sure, we had some late injury disruption with Josh Wycherley dropping out, and forcing John Ryan to cover loosehead and bring a thoroughly shagged Michael Ala’alatoa into a game where he shouldn’t have been playing and, even at that, should have been doing 20 minutes max. A Glasgow player dropped off the lineout onto Jager’s ankle and forced him off after 17 minutes.

Coombes went off with an HIA right when his punch in the carry would have been really effective.

But this is a familiar story.

Do enough to win, but get holed below the waterline through self-inflicted means inside the first 10 minutes, leaving ourselves with a mountain to climb.

I spoke last week about this team having very little confidence in our units

I think it comes back to a lack of confidence in the reality of our game at this point in the season, magnified by an awareness of how many inconsistent players we have in the squad. When we go 10-0 down, something we often encounter on the road we take to avoid it (weirdly enough), I think we start to panic because we have very little of anything we know works to fall back on, especially when we’re without our internationals.

That was more evident here, especially in the first half. After the intercept for Glasgow’s second try, we looked like we had no route up the field that we could trust. We looked brittle. Like we didn’t trust ourselves not to make another handling error, or a bad play call, or the real fear that we could slip up in defence at any point.

After they went 14-0 up, we had an excellent scrum position on their 22. The play was… run Abrahams, our smallest, weakest in contact back three player, on an inside weave into the teeth of the Glasgow defence. Of course, he was stopped dead. Of course, given the play left no scope for ruck support if the contact stopped him cold, he was turned over.

No big rocks. No solidity. No situational context on the play call. An attempted knock-out punch when we needed a jab. All duck or no dinner.

We have a good starting XV. Decent bench options with everyone fit, but once we start relying on guys third in the chart, or some of the older squad guys or veterans, especially out of position, anything could happen. Sometimes decent, mostly deeply, deeply inconsistent. We saw that here, alongside the obvious green shoots.

PlayersRating
1. Mark Donnelly★★★
2. Diarmuid Barron★★★
3. Oli JagerN/A
4. Evan O'Connell★★★
5. Fineen Wycherley★★★
6. Sean Edogbo★★★★
7. Ruadhan Quinn★★★
8. Brian Gleeson★★★★
9. Ethan Coughlan
10. Tony Butler
11. Thaakir Abrahams
12. Dan Kelly★★★★
13. Shane Daly★★★
14. Diarmuid Kilgallen
15. Mike Haley★★
16. Lee Barron★★
17. John RyanN/A
18. Michael Ala'alatoa★★
19. Gavin CoombesN/A
20. Jack O'Donoghue★★★★
21. Paddy Patterson★★
22. Tom Wood★★★
23. Sean O'BrienN/A

My standout players were Brian Gleeson, Dan Kelly and Sean Edogbo.

Dan Kelly basically did the defensive work of three players for most of the game, and still had the gas to finish a try from 60m in one of the biggest “fine, I’ll do it myself” moments you’ll see this season. He passed well, carried well and cleaned up more messes than a janitor on crystal meth.

Brian Gleeson scored one, should have scored another and was a constant source of go-forward ball while also making 16 carries and 24 tackles. Put him alongside a few more hitters in the central spaces and watch him dominate.

Sean Edogbo, in these last two weeks, looks like the perfect fit for our #6 role. He’s great in the air, a reliable tracking defender with huge range, while being a dominant, explosive ball carrier on the edges.

I mean, look at that. The Glasgow #12 shows him the outside, and Edogbo is just gone. Only an excellent cover tackle takes him down, but that’s what Sean Edogbo can do. Explosive, powerful, and with an intelligence at the offensive breakdown that points at an incredibly complete young player.